Excel Funds Management Inc.

Emerging Markets


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Mexico, Chile and Columbia maintained strong growth metrics

The Latin American growth gap, or the rate of growth differential between countries measured by GDP, may have peaked in 2012 according to HSBC analysts.

While Brazil and Argentina showed signs of deceleration, Mexico, Chile and Columbia maintained strong growth metrics.

HSBC says “In the case of Mexico, a virtuous cycle of initiatives by policymakers and investment decisions by firms appears to be emerging. In Brazil, we currently observe the opposite”.

Forecasts for GDP growth in the region come in at “4.8% for Chile, 6.2% for Peru and 4.3% for Colombia”.

Both the Excel Latin America Bond Fund and Excel Latin America (Equity) Fund are two great investment vehicles helping Canadian investors capture the tremendous economic performance opportunity of the Latin American region. With geographic diversification and leading portfolio managers managing an Excel fund we aim to provide investors with both value, strength and expertise.

Written by Jack S.

Read More:
http://www.emergingmarkets.org/Article/3138072/Economics-and-Policy/Latin-America-outlook-Brazil-may-rebound-this-year.html

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After a year like 2012 Global EM Bonds are likely to become more pervasive and nuanced

After a year like 2012 Global EM Bonds are likely to become more pervasive and nuanced according to Baron’s writer Reshma Kapadia.

Citing Jan Dehn, co-head of research at emerging markets shop Ashmore Investments Management, Kapadia writes that “ the great unwind”

of developed economies may become a real problem as heavy debt loads and current account deficits start to gain significantly more traction with investors.

 In terms of strategy, Dahn points out the low correlation of EM/Global government fixed income and attributes continuing  trade as a macro rotation by investors such as himself. Dhan also goes on to point out that EM government  (locally denominated) fixed income insulates investors against weakness in the US Dollar.

Needless to say, we at Excel Funds still firmly believe in the growth of this asset class and offer investors the Excel High Income Fund.

The High Income Fund is a great vehicle that helps investors earn real yields in a low interest rate environment while on exposing portfolios to low-medium risks.

 Written by Jack S.

Read more:

http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmarketsdaily/2012/11/26/asset-allocation-to-gain-importance-for-em-bond-investors-ashmore/?mod=google_news_blog

 

Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.


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Emerging markets growth, convenience push mobile content and commerce

If you think mobile content and commerce are just buzzwords at the moment, or concepts you should look at for the future, think again. Nearly 90% of mobile users already engage in mobile content and commerce.

That’s up from 82% last year. That growth isn’t about to start slowing down either, especially as people in emerging markets get access to increasingly affordable, sophisticated mobile technology.

 

The biggest rises in mobile content and commerce are in growth markets, including India (85 to 90%) and South Africa (89 to 95%). In contrast mature markets such as the UK have remained static at 91% for 2011 and 2012.

 

The big drivers for this increase in mobile growth would be the median age of these nations, India has a median age of 25 and under and South Africa is 26 and under l. The growing middle class continues to drive growth in these regions and that is being reflected in company earnings.

 

Airtel is Indian based phone company in New Dheli  represents one of India’s largest telecom company. They have over 261 Million subscriptions worldwide and has seen continued growth of new subscriptions.

 

The continued growth in the telecom world will continue to experience faster growth and increase market share from these driving economies which will continue to see growth from these young populations demanding more sophisticated devices and competition with this sector.

 

The overall sentiment continues to grow and Emerging Markets are now vital for growth in one’s investment portfolio going forward the facts can no longer be ignored. Emerging markets represents over 80% of the world population, 34% of the worlds GDP and growing and 75% of the world lands mass.

 

Where would you want to be Invested?

 

Written by Sam A.

 

http://memeburn.com/2012/11/emerging-markets-growth-convenience-push-mobile-content-consumption-commerce/

 

 


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Merrill Lynch favors EM over developed countries

Merrill Lynch Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnell favors EM over developed countries. The EM have been outperforming even though commodities are weakening. Michael Hartwell and his team believe the reason behind the strength of EM is the consumption story rather than the dependence on commodities.  They are also bullish on EM bonds over developed countries.

Excel has 12 funds raging from country specific or a general EM fund. Now is the time to take advantage of EM markets as they continue to grow.

Written by Jeff K.

Barrons. (2012). BofA Merrill Lynch Strategist Favors Emerging over Developed Markets. Retrieved November 19, 2012, from http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmarketsdaily/2012/11/16/bofa-merrill-lynch-strategist-favors-emerging-over-developed-markets/?mod=google_news_blog


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Latin American Middle Class Grows by 50 Million

Back in 2003, the middle class population of Latin America and the Caribbean was about 103 million. In 2009, it was an estimated 152 million, an increase of almost 50 percent. The increase is due to a successful result of the economic policy by Latin American and Caribbean governments. But the lower class has grown even larger, according to a recent report by the World Bank. Jim Yong Kim, President of the World Bank, says that one third of the population is still in poverty. Although little progress was made in the region to reduce poverty and grow the middle class, more recent changes show that this impressive boost is due to economic stability and growth in the region along with more recent changes emphasizing the delivery of social programs.

 

Middle class within LAC are not considered rich but are economically secure – or have less than 10% chance of slipping into poverty. An earning of at least $14,000 per year, would put a family of four into the middle class. A household making less than $4 a day is considered poor, while those earning from $4 to $10 are economically vulnerable. Today, the middle class and the poor account for roughly the same share of the population – 29% and 31% in that order – while the economically vulnerable now make up the majority. A rapid growing middle class only means positivity for the economy and investors.

 

Written by Melissa W.

 

http://abcnews.go.com/ABC_Univision/News/latin-american-middle-class-grows-50-million-world/story?id=17711973


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Latvia Gets a Double Dose of Good News

Latvia received a double-dose of good news last week in that the country reported a strong gain in third-quarter output and had its credit rating raised by one notch at S&P.

“To their huge credit they buckled under, took the pain and austerity and pushed forward with structural reforms, and are now growing” an S&P spokesperson was quoted as saying.

The strong economic performance out of Latvia, a Baltic state neighboring Russia, was on the back of a deficit reduction plan estimated at 1.6% in 2012.

While the credit default market’s reaction was relatively muted and only moved default swaps down 2 bps, the upgrade in the Latvia’s credit rating will almost certainly help lower borrowing costs for the country’s government issued fixed income and sovereign debt.

Both the Excel EM High Income Fund and the Excel Emerging Europe Fund invest in this region of the world. And with exposures to both fixed income and equity markets, and boasting “on the ground” professional managers, Excel Funds provides the Canadian investor with opportunities to profit in uniquely compelling markets that for the most part remain untapped outside of only the institutional investor.

Written by Jack S.

Halas, Sedder. Latvia Gets a Double Dose of Good News – Emerging Europe Real Time, Wall Street Journal.

 

Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments.  Please read the prospectus before investing.  Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.


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Why have Emerging Markets Equities responded favourably?

The Wall Street Journal’s Jake Lee discusses some of the reasons why Emerging Markets Equities have responded favourably, recently.

Jake mentions the recent spate of “easy money” policies out of the Federal Reserve Bank, in the US, a “dovish” ECB which recently cut rates by .25 bps and introduced its’ new bond buying program.

“If you had invested in Asian stocks you couldn’t have gone wrong” Mr Lee mention went to cite broader indices in Thailand which have risen as much as 28%.

 

The Excel Emerging Markets fund, recently recognized with the 2012 Lipper Awards for best EM equity Fund over 1 year, makes a compelling investment vehicle for investor portfolio exposures to the Emerging Markets. The fund offers broad diversification, strong and active portfolio management as well as a proven track record.

Written by Jack S.

Read More: {Video} http://live.wsj.com/video/what-driving-investors-back-to-emerging-markets/3AFE3436-A14E-46C7-A52E-88975D650FB7.html#!3AFE3436-A14E-46C7-A52E-88975D650FB7